Current US IR Satellite Loop

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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161744
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of 
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low 
pressure area.  This system will move little today and tonight, and 
little if any development is expected during that time due to 
interaction with land.  However, the system should begin to move 
northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western 
Gulf of Mexico.  An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft 
is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central 
America and southern Mexico during the next few days.  Heavy rains 
should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on 
Friday.  Please consult products from your local meteorological 
service for more information. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 16 Jun 2021 23:14:53 GMT

 

Eastern Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 162314
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends several hundred 
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving 
west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast 
of southwestern Mexico.  Regardless of development, heavy rains are 
likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, 
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, 
which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  
Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system 
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 16 Jun 2021 23:14:53 GMT