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2026-06-15 20:35 PM CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Continuation of Serial Number: 3700 Begin Time: 2026 Jun 13 1332 UTC Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1581 pfu TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY: ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZJUN2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 161.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 160.5E, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS 92W AS A TROPICAL WAVE, WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BURSTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) OFFSET BY SLIGHT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE WEST. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS LARGELY SHOW SLOW DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 171.5E, APPROXIMATELY 362 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NADI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED, MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. EARLIER ASCAT DATA REVEALED AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE CHARACTERISTICS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (27-28 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES GREATLY OFFSET BY VERY HIGH (40-50 KTS) WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, SOUTH OF FIJI OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 96P IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE STRONG MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS AN INCOMING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ENVELOPS THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.// NNNN
THUNDERSTORM (c/o PAGASA)

Thunderstorm Advisory No. 16 #NCR_PRSD
Issued at: 10:11 PM, 15 June 2026(Monday)

Moderate to heavy rainshowers with lightning and strong winds are being experienced in Quezon(Jomalig, Patnanungan) which may persist within 2 hours and may affect nearby areas.

Published by: NCRPRSDValid until: Jun 16, 2026 12:11 AM
Affected Areas: Quezon
THUNDERSTORM

Thunderstorm Watch #NLPRSD
Issued at 10:00 PM 15 June 2026

Thunderstorm is MORE LIKELY to develop over #IlocosNorte within 12 hours.

Published by: NLPRSDValid until: Jun 16, 2026 10:00 AM
Affected Areas: Ilocos Norte
THUNDERSTORM

Thunderstorm Watch #VISPRSD
Issued at 10:00 PM 15 June 2026

Thunderstorm is MORE LIKELY to develop over #Cebu, #Bohol, #Siquijor, #NegrosOriental, #NegrosOccidental, #Iloilo, #Guimaras, #Antique, #Capiz, #Aklan, #Palawan, #OccidentalMindoro, #Leyte, #SouthernLeyte, #Biliran, #EasternSamar and #Samar within 12 hours.

Published by: VISPRSDValid until: Jun 16, 2026 10:00 AM
Affected Areas: Cebu, Bohol, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental + 12 more
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Updated: 06/15/2026 @ 10:00pm  
Temperature Current Conditions Forecast / Storm Prediction
Outside Temperature: No Change

28.6°C

Heat Index:  35.3°C
Feels like:  35°C
Warm
Indoor Temperature

93.1°C

Max Humidex:  42.6°C
Indoor Humidity: %
High Today
32.9°C
12:06 PM 		Low Today
27.6°C
5:31 AM
Yest High
33.4°C
1:35 PM 		Yest Low
23.8°C
1:03 AM
Sta* High
37.0°C
4/28/2026
 Sta* Low
0.0°C
5/5/2026
Space Weather Status
X-Ray: B6.3 Max: C1.4
NORMAL
Geomagnetic Field: 1.67
QUIET
High Magnitude Alert
Few Clouds Few Clouds ,
Few Clouds

Calm Wind:  NNE
0.0
Gusting to:
 0.0 km/h
Current Rain Rain Total:
0.0 mm
Rain Warning Rain Rate:
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-0.1 % of 100%
LA NINA / EL NINO
Monday
Partially cloudy rain
Partially cloudy with 32°C
28°C 		Tuesday
Rain, Partially cloudy rain
Rain, Partially cloudy with 34°C
27°C 		Wednesday
Rain, Overcast rain
Rain, Overcast with 34°C
26°C
Official Record High