ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZAPR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 157.8E, APPROXIMATELY 138 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA IS MARGINAL FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AND A QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN