Tropical Cyclone Advisories and Forecast
Time and Date in UTZ:
160600 /160600Z-170600ZJUN2026TYPHOON WARNINGS for East Asian and Western Pacific:
(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):Summary 1:
NONE.Summary 2:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 161.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 157.0E, APPROXIMATELY 198 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS 92W AS A TROPICAL WAVE, WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BURSTS WITHIN THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY AND A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), VERY SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30 C), AND WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW LIMITED SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR-TERM, BUT ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SLOW DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS WITH A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.Summary 3:
NONE.TYPHOON WARNINGS for U.S West to East Pacific:
(WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):Summary 1:
NONE.Summary 2:
NONE.Summary 3:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0S 173.0E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED, MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE CHARACTERISTICS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH VERY HIGH (40-50 KTS) WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOL (26-27 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, SOUTH OF FIJI OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 96P IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE STRONG MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS AN INCOMING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ENVELOPS THE SYSTEM. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMSTropical Cyclone Forecast Track Guidance and Ensembles
JMA TC FORECAST (for next 24 hrs click: HERE for next 48 hrs click: HERE)
TROPICAL CYCLONE Advisory "if active" Courtesy of: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Tropical Tidbits, Japan Meteorological Agency, Weathernerds.org and Rosentiel school of marine and atmospheric science







