Time and Date in UTZ:

060600

/060600Z-070600ZJAN2026

TYPHOON WARNINGS for East Asian and Western Pacific:

(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

NONE.

Summary 3:

NONE.

TYPHOON WARNINGS for U.S West to East Pacific:

(WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 122 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH WEAK FLARING CONVECTION. A 060353Z AMSR2 PASS SHOWS MINIMAL CONVECTION AND A DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEAL A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 92P STAYING NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE EVENTUALLY TRACKING WEST TOWARDS THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS BUT IT IS STILL HESITANT OF 92P FULLY CONSOLIDATING. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE GENERALLY MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE FORMATION THAN THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

Summary 3:

NONE