Tropical Cyclone Advisories and Forecast

Time and Date in UTZ:

230600

/230600Z-240600ZMAY2024

TYPHOON WARNINGS for East Asian and Western Pacific:

(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.5N 134.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 133.7E, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 2128Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A BROAD CIRCULATION AND EXPANSIVE, ALBEIT WEAK AND FRAGMENTED, FORMATIVE BANDING. ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WEAK EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD AND ACROSS THE ISLAND OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, THEN RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

Summary 3:

NONE.

TYPHOON WARNINGS for U.S West to East Pacific:

(WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

NONE.

Summary 3:

NONE

Cyclone Forecast

Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Guidance and Ensembles

Cyclone Track Cyclone Track

JMA TC FORECAST (for next 24 hrs click: HERE for next 48 hrs click: HERE)

TROPICAL CYCLONE Advisory "if active" Courtesy of: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Tropical Tidbits, Japan Meteorological Agency, Weathernerds.org and Rosentiel school of marine and atmospheric science

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