Current US IR Satellite Loop

Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241226
TWOAT
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
830 AM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Special outlook issued to update AL90 formation chances
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Satellite images indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity
has become better organized in association with a small gale-force
low-pressure system located about 900 miles east-northeast of
Bermuda. This system will likely become a short-lived tropical
storm later today before more hostile environmental conditions end
its opportunity for development by this evening. The low is
forecast to move northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while
remaining over the open central Atlantic. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
Summary for Tropical Storm Andrea (AT1/AL012025)
...ANDREA BECOMES THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON IN THE ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Jun 24 the center of Andrea was located near 36.6, -48.9 with movement ENE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1014 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tropical Storm andrea Public Advisory Number 1
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 000 WTNT31 KNHC 241410 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Andrea Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 ...ANDREA BECOMES THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON IN THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 48.9W ABOUT 1205 MI...1940 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andrea was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 48.9 West. Andrea is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Weakening is expected to begin tonight, with Andrea dissipating by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Blake/Hagen
Tropical Storm andrea Forecast Advisory Number 1
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 24 2025 000 WTNT21 KNHC 241410 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012025 1500 UTC TUE JUN 24 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 48.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS.... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 48.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 49.7W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 37.9N 46.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 39.6N 41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 48.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/BLAKE/HAGEN
Tropical Storm andrea Forecast Discussion Number 1
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 000 WTNT41 KNHC 241411 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Andrea Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025 The area of low pressure between Bermuda and the Azores that we have been monitoring for a few days (90L) developed persistent deep convection overnight. This is shown by the latest subjective Dvorak current intensity estimate from TAFB of 2.0, and the current wind estimate of 35 kt is supported by the past several scatterometer passes showing 30 to 35 knot winds. Even though deep convection is now decreasing, due to the persistent convection overnight and pulsing convection over the past 36 hours, the system has met the criteria of being classified as a tropical storm, albeit a marginal one, making Tropical Storm Andrea the first Atlantic storm of the year. The initial motion is 060/15 knots. This motion is expected to continue through dissipation, which is forecast to occur by 36 hours. The track forecast closely follows the TVCA and HCCA consensus guidance. Andrea will be a short-lived tropical storm, as environmental conditions will become increasingly hostile over the next day or so. Water temperatures will plummet to around 21/22C, with vertical wind shear increasing to 35-40 knots, in a dry mid-level environment. The intensity forecast holds Andrea at tropical storm strength today, with the system weakening into a post-tropical remnant low by Wednesday morning because of the cold waters and dissipating shortly thereafter. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1500Z 36.6N 48.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 25/0000Z 37.9N 46.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 25/1200Z 39.6N 41.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Jelsema/Blake/Hagen
Tropical Storm andrea Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 24 2025 000 FONT11 KNHC 241410 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012025 1500 UTC TUE JUN 24 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER JELSEMA/BLAKE/HAGEN
Tropical Storm Andrea Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 24 Jun 2025 14:12:31 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 24 Jun 2025 15:21:28 GMT
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
356
ABPZ20 KNHC 241142
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 24 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles offshore of
Central America continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 24 Jun 2025 16:40:09 GMT